Friday, May 8, 2009

I must have been onto something....

Just a quick update.

In my last post i talked about how software must be at some stage converging to a point where improvement can no longer be made. This point usually occurs about the time of a major paradigm shift in the associated software.

I was very interested to note an article on CNET news that Steve Ballmer had apparently outlines something similar in his recent speech at Standford University in the states "The problem with software wasn't that people didn't want computers, though. The challenge, Ballmer said later in his chat, is that software doesn't wear out, meaning companies have to do something new and different to get people to upgrade."

The way the industry is going at the moment, there's several things that could erupt into potential paradigm shifts. For one, the NetBook market is still a race everyone's trying to enter. Other technologies such as touchscreens, zcams, and the constant evolution of computing hardware (mainly in it's growing complexity) all have the capability to be game-changing. Or the current paradigm could hold, the bubbles around some/all of these technologies could burst, and we could continue along the current status quo for a few more years.

The same is also happenning with the auto industry; the speed at which electric and hybrid vehicles are becoming feasable is dizzying. But with several reports claiming the infrastructure is not ready to support it, and with no real consumer buy-in yet, no one knows what will happen when these vehicles hit the market.

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